论文标题
软件开发工作量估算的集合回归模型:一项比较研究
Ensemble Regression Models for Software Development Effort Estimation: A Comparative Study
论文作者
论文摘要
随着计算机软件的需求不断增加,软件范围和复杂性比以往任何时候都更高。该软件行业实际上需要对正在开发的项目进行准确的估计。软件开发工作估计是软件项目管理中的主要过程之一。但是,高估和低估可能会导致软件行业损失。这项研究确定了哪种技术具有更好的努力预测准确性,并提出了可以提供更好估计的组合技术。将八个不同的集合模型与集合模型估算的努力相互比较,以平均绝对剩余(MAR)标准和统计检验的预测准确性进行比较。结果表明,与同行相比,提出的合奏模型除了提供高效率外,还为软件项目努力估算提供了最佳响应。因此,本研究中提出的合奏模型将帮助使用开发质量软件的项目经理。
As demand for computer software continually increases, software scope and complexity become higher than ever. The software industry is in real need of accurate estimates of the project under development. Software development effort estimation is one of the main processes in software project management. However, overestimation and underestimation may cause the software industry loses. This study determines which technique has better effort prediction accuracy and propose combined techniques that could provide better estimates. Eight different ensemble models to estimate effort with Ensemble Models were compared with each other base on the predictive accuracy on the Mean Absolute Residual (MAR) criterion and statistical tests. The results have indicated that the proposed ensemble models, besides delivering high efficiency in contrast to its counterparts, and produces the best responses for software project effort estimation. Therefore, the proposed ensemble models in this study will help the project managers working with development quality software.