论文标题

基因编程探视调度解决方案可以提供较少严重的Covid-19大流行人口锁定

Genetic Programming visitation scheduling solution can deliver a less austere COVID-19 pandemic population lockdown

论文作者

Howard, Daniel

论文摘要

引入了一种计算方法,以最大程度地减少感染的机会,以响应于2020年Covid-19的大流行而遭受一定程度的锁定。人们使用手机或计算设备要求到他们需要或兴趣的地方旅行,表明一天中的时间很艰难:``早晨',``下午'',``夜晚'',或者``任何时间''何时想进行这些郊游以及所需的参观地点。一种人工智能方法论,它是基因编程研究的一种变体,并以特定的时间分配对这种访问进行响应,以最大程度地减少感染,住院和死亡的总体风险。提出了许多计算的替代方法,并在连续三天进行的1700多次访问中涉及230多个年龄和背景健康水平的数值实验的结果。引入了一种新型的部分感染模型,以讨论这些概念解决方案证明,这些证明是与循环的未知时间安排进行比较的,以访问地方。这些计算表明,死亡人数少得多,死亡人数却少得多。这些螺旋螺旋钻对使用准确的感染模型进行了更现实的研究,以测试现实世界中的部署。驱动感染模型的输入是分类类别的感染程度,例如COVID-19或任何污染模型的人口测试可能引起的信息。计算中假定的分类类别是年龄组的感染水平。

A computational methodology is introduced to minimize infection opportunities for people suffering some degree of lockdown in response to a pandemic, as is the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic. Persons use their mobile phone or computational device to request trips to places of their need or interest indicating a rough time of day: `morning', `afternoon', `night' or `any time' when they would like to undertake these outings as well as the desired place to visit. An artificial intelligence methodology which is a variant of Genetic Programming studies all requests and responds with specific time allocations for such visits that minimize the overall risks of infection, hospitalization and death of people. A number of alternatives for this computation are presented and results of numerical experiments involving over 230 people of various ages and background health levels in over 1700 visits that take place over three consecutive days. A novel partial infection model is introduced to discuss these proof of concept solutions which are compared to round robin uninformed time scheduling for visits to places. The computations indicate vast improvements with far fewer dead and hospitalized. These auger well for a more realistic study using accurate infection models with the view to test deployment in the real world. The input that drives the infection model is the degree of infection by taxonomic class, such as the information that may arise from population testing for COVID-19 or, alternatively, any contamination model. The taxonomy class assumed in the computations is the likely level of infection by age group.

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