论文标题

Saber Pro成功预测模型使用基于决策树的学习

Saber Pro success prediction model using decision tree based learning

论文作者

Bernal, Gregorio Perez, Villegas, Luisa Toro, Toro, Mauricio

论文摘要

该报告的主要目的是确定什么影响哥伦比亚学习的学生的成功率,分析Saber 11,在上一学年进行的测试,一些社会经济方面进行,并将Saber Pro的结果与全国平均水平进行比较。这面临的问题是找到影响成功的原因,但它也提供了对教育动力的国家的见解,并预测了一个人的繁荣机会。本文中提出的相反情况可能是抛弃水平,从某种意义上说,通过检测什么使某人杰出的因素,这些因素可以说明是什么使人们失败。解决此问题提议的解决方案是实施一种货车决策树算法,该算法有助于预测学生根据不同的社会经济和学术因素(例如主体父母的父母的职业)和SABER 11所获得的成绩等基于不同的社会经济和学术因素的得分高于平均值的可能性,并且发现最有影响力的因素是主题的成绩,而不是Scaber 11的成绩,而不是Saber 11的成绩,而不是Saber 11的成绩。通常被描绘成。该算法设计的算法提供了有关哪些因素最大的因素影响任何给定人成功的可能性,以及是否可以在许多给定情况下使用进一步的追求,例如确定在学校中应该给出哪个学科,总体上应该更加强度和学术课程。

The primary objective of this report is to determine what influences the success rates of students who have studied in Colombia, analyzing the Saber 11, the test done at the last school year, some socioeconomic aspects and comparing the Saber Pro results with the national average. The problem this faces is to find what influences success, but it also provides an insight in the countries education dynamics and predicts one's opportunities to be prosperous. The opposite situation to the one presented in this paper could be the desertion levels, in the sense that by detecting what makes someone outstanding, these factors can say what makes one unsuccessful. The solution proposed to solve this problem was to implement a CART decision tree algorithm that helps to predict the probability that a student has of scoring higher than the mean value, based on different socioeconomic and academic factors, such as the profession of the parents of the subject parents and the results obtained on Saber 11. It was discovered that one of the most influential factors is the score in the Saber 11, on the topic of Social Studies, and that the gender of the subject is not as influential as it is usually portrayed as. The algorithm designed provided significant insight into which factors most affect the probability of success of any given person and if further pursued could be used in many given situations such as deciding which subject in school should be given more intensity to and academic curriculum in general.

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