论文标题

电气化对塞内加尔农村吸引力的影响

The impact of electrification on rural attractiveness in Senegal

论文作者

Salat, Hadrien, Schläpfer, Markus, Smoreda, Zbigniew, Rubrichi, Stefania

论文摘要

可靠且负担得起的电力访问已成为人类的基本需求之一,因此是发展议程的顶部。它通过改变人们的生活 - 食品,教育,医疗保健来促进社会经济发展;它激发了新的经济机会,从而改善了生计。我们使用市场份额领导者提供的全面的化名手机记录数据集,分析电气化对塞内加尔农村地区吸引力的影响。我们从呼叫详细记录(CDR)中提取通信和移动性流动,并表明电气化对通信网络内的中心措施以及对访客的体积有很小但积极和具体的影响。但是,这种增加的影响力在有限的空间范围内被限制,从而与附近地区产生了复杂的竞争。尽管如此,我们发现,从目的地的电气化水平以及原点的生命标准可以很好地预测到任何两个站点之间的访客量。鉴于这些结果,我们讨论了如何从农村电气化计划策略中获得最佳结果。我们确定,与试图集中电力供应以最大化特定靶向地点的发展相比,农村地点的电气组是更好的解决方案。

A reliable and affordable access to electricity has become one of the basic needs for humans and is, as such, at the top of the development agenda. It contributes to socio-economic development by transforming the whole spectrum of people's lives - food, education, health care; it spurs new economic opportunities and thus improves livelihoods. Using a comprehensive dataset of pseudonymised mobile phone records, provided by the market share leader, we analyse the impact of electrification on the attractiveness of rural areas in Senegal. We extract communication and mobility flows from the call detail records (CDRs) and show that electrification has a small, yet positive and specific, impact on centrality measures within the communication network and on the volume of incoming visitors. This increased influence is however circumscribed to a limited spatial extent, creating a complex competition with nearby areas. Nevertheless, we found that the volume of visitors between any two sites could be well predicted from the level of electrification at the destination combined with the living standard at the origin. In view of these results, we discuss how to obtain the best outcomes from a rural electrification planning strategy. We determine that electrifying clusters of rural sites is a better solution than attempting to centralise electricity supplies to maximise the development of specifically targeted sites.

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