论文标题
模拟突尼斯的Covid-19和控制政策的传播和控制策略
Simulations of the spread of COVID-19 and control policies in Tunisia
论文作者
论文摘要
我们在这项工作中开发和分析了使用突尼斯数据为COVID-19的流行病学模型。我们的目标是首先评估突尼斯控制政策的Covid-19，其次是了解不同筛查，隔离和遏制策略的影响以及无症状患者对突尼斯人在突尼斯人群中传播的规则。通过这项工作，我们表明突尼斯控制策略有效地筛查感染和无症状的个体，如果维持遏制和宵禁，则流行病将很快遏制。
We develop and analyze in this work an epidemiological model for COVID-19 using Tunisian data. Our aims are first to evaluate Tunisian control policies for COVID-19 and secondly to understand the effect of different screening, quarantine and containment strategies and the rule of the asymptomatic patients on the spread of the virus in the Tunisian population. With this work, we show that Tunisian control policies are efficient in screening infected and asymptomatic individuals and that if containment and curfew are maintained the epidemic will be quickly contained.
