论文标题

从收入和支出方面进行完全调和的GDP预测

Fully reconciled GDP forecasts from Income and Expenditure sides

论文作者

Bisaglia, Luisa, Di Fonzo, Tommaso, Girolimetto, Daniele

论文摘要

我们提出了一个完整的对帐程序,从而导致了GDP数字的“一个数字预测”,与预测系列的收入和支出方面相一致,并与Athanasopoulos等人的原始建议相比,评估了其在澳大利亚季度GDP系列上的表现。 (2019)。

We propose a complete reconciliation procedure, resulting in a 'one number forecast' of the GDP figure, coherent with both Income and Expenditure sides' forecasted series, and evaluate its performance on the Australian quarterly GDP series, as compared to the original proposal by Athanasopoulos et al. (2019).

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