论文标题
Ostwald Covid-19-19的流行病的增长率与量子复杂物质的逮捕生长一样
Ostwald growth rate in controlled Covid-19 epidemic spreading as in arrested growth in quantum complex matter
论文作者
论文摘要
在这里，我们专注于在激活了不同遏制政策的国家中，共同19的流行病的增长的数据分析。众所周知，大流行在其阈值下的增长是指数式的，但尚不知道如何量化不同的遏制策略的成功。我们确定成功的方法在Ostwald增长后会产生被捕的相位状态，随着时间的流逝，一个阶段转变为另一个具有相似自由能的亚稳态相，如量子复杂物质和蛋白质结晶中所观察到的相似的自由能。我们介绍了S因素，该因素提供了对所采用的遏制政策效率和速度的定量度量，这不仅有助于监视Covid-19-19-19大流行价差，而且还可以选择其他国家 /地区选择最佳的控制政策。结果表明，基于联合限制，有针对性测试和跟踪积极案件的政策是最迅速的大流行遏制政策。实际上，我们发现了中国，韩国和意大利的成功因素的9、5和31的价值，其中最低的S因素表示最佳的遏制政策
Here, we focus on the data analysis of the growth of epidemic spread of Covid-19 in countries where different policies of containment were activated. It is known that the growth of pandemic spread at its threshold is exponential, but it is not known how to quantify the success of different containment policies. We identify that a successful approach gives an arrested phase regime following the Ostwald growth, where, over the course of time, one phase transforms into another metastable phase with a similar free energy as observed in oxygen interstitial diffusion in quantum complex matter and in crystallization of proteins. We introduce the s factor which provides a quantitative measure of the efficiency and speed of the adopted containment policy, which is very helpful not only to monitor the Covid-19 pandemic spread but also for other countries to choose the best containment policy. The results show that a policy based on joint confinement, targeted tests, and tracking positive cases is the most rapid pandemic containment policy; in fact, we found values of 9, 5, and 31 for the success s factor for China, South Korea, and Italy, respectively, where the lowest s factor indicates the best containment policy
