论文标题
位移程度：家用光伏电池制作对公用事业生成和存储的影响
Degrees of displacement: The impact of household PV battery prosumage on utility generation and storage
论文作者
论文摘要
PV和电池成本的降低鼓励家庭投资PV电池制作。我们通过在2030年对西澳大利亚州的场景应用两个开源技术经济模型来探讨对电力部门其他部门的影响。家庭光伏容量通常替代Utility PV，但随着安装额外的家用电池的安装稍少一些。风力发电的影响较小，尤其是在可再生能源份额较高的情况下。随着家用电池运行以最大程度地增加自我消费，几乎无法替代公用电池电池容量。向家庭提供批发价格，包括那些不从事制作的人，略有下降，而其他消费者的价格略有上涨。我们得出的结论是，制作的增长对电力部门的各个要素具有影响，投资者，监管机构和电力部门计划者应更彻底地考虑。
Reductions in the cost of PV and batteries encourage households to invest in PV battery prosumage. We explore the implications for the rest of the power sector by applying two open-source techno-economic models to scenarios in Western Australia for the year 2030. Household PV capacity generally substitutes utility PV, but slightly less so as additional household batteries are installed. Wind power is less affected, especially in scenarios with higher shares of renewables. With household batteries operating to maximise self-consumption, utility battery capacities are hardly substituted. Wholesale prices to supply households, including those not engaging in prosumage, slightly decrease, while prices for other consumers slightly increase. We conclude that the growth of prosumage has implications on the various elements of the power sector and should be more thoroughly considered by investors, regulators, and power sector planners.
