论文标题
引入政治暴力的空间冲突动态指标
Introducing the Spatial Conflict Dynamics indicator of political violence
论文作者
论文摘要
现代武装冲突有聚集并在地理上传播的趋势。但是,大多数冲突的地理位置仍然不足。为了填补这一空白,本文提出了一个新的指标,该指标衡量了次国政治暴力的两个关键地理特性:一方面地区内部的冲突强度以及另一方面的冲突的空间分布。我们在1997年至2019年之间证明了北非和西非的指标,以表明它可以阐明冲突如何在一个地方传播,以及冲突地理的地理如何随着时间而变化。
Modern armed conflicts have a tendency to cluster together and spread geographically. However, the geography of most conflicts remains under-studied. To fill this gap, this article presents a new indicator that measures two key geographical properties of subnational political violence: the conflict intensity within a region on the one hand, and the spatial distribution of conflict within a region on the other. We demonstrate the indicator in North and West Africa between 1997 to 2019 to show that it can clarify how conflicts can spread from place to place and how the geography of conflict changes over time.