论文标题
光谱贝叶斯对通用随机混合系统的估计
Spectral Bayesian Estimation for General Stochastic Hybrid Systems
论文作者
论文摘要
一般的随机混合系统(GSHS)已被制定,以代表混合动力学系统中各种类型的不确定性。在本文中,我们提出了用于贝叶斯估计GSH的计算技术。特别是,描述沿GSH的不确定性分布演变的Fokker-Planck方程是通过光谱技术求解的,其中杂种状态的概率密度的任意形式由傅立叶级数的混合物表示。该方法基于将fokker-planck方程式分解为以整数微分方程表示为连续扩散的部分分化零件,以及用于离散过渡的积分部分,并整合了每个部分的解决方案。在贝叶斯公式中,将传播密度函数与可能性函数一起使用,以估计给定传感器测量的混合状态。所提出的技术的独特特征是,与计算某些某些预期值(如均值或方差)相比,构建了杂种状态的完整随机特性的概率密度是构建混合状态的完整特征。我们将提出的方法应用于两个示例的估计:弹跳球模型和Dubins车辆模型。我们表明,所提出的技术产生与蒙特卡洛模拟一致的传播密度,对基于高斯的方法的更准确的估计以及对粒子过滤器的一些计算益处。
General Stochastic Hybrid Systems (GSHS) have been formulated to represent various types of uncertainties in hybrid dynamical systems. In this paper, we propose computational techniques for Bayesian estimation of GSHS. In particular, the Fokker-Planck equation that describes the evolution of uncertainty distributions along GSHS is solved by spectral techniques, where an arbitrary form of probability density of the hybrid state is represented by a mixture of Fourier series. The method is based on splitting the Fokker-Planck equation represented by an integro-partial differential equation into the partial differentiation part for continuous diffusion and the integral part for discrete transition, and integrating the solution of each part. The propagated density function is used with a likelihood function in the Bayes' formula to estimate the hybrid state for given sensor measurements. The unique feature of the proposed technique is that the probability density describing complete stochastic properties of the hybrid state is constructed without relying on the common Gaussian assumption, in contrast to other methods that compute certain expected values such as mean or variance. We apply the proposed method to the estimation of two examples: the bouncing ball model and the Dubins vehicle model. We show that the proposed technique yields propagated densities consistent with Monte Carlo simulations, more accurate estimates over the Gaussian based approach and some computational benefits over a particle filter.