论文标题
美国总统演讲中经济内容的相互联系
The interconnectedness of the economic content in the speeches of the US Presidents
论文作者
论文摘要
有影响力的政治家所说的讲话可能会对一个国家的未来产生决定性的影响。特别是,这种演讲的经济内容会影响国家及其金融市场的经济。因此,我们研究了一个新颖的数据集,其中包含乔治·华盛顿(George Washington)45位美国总统(1789年4月)向唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)发表的951个演讲的经济内容(2017年2月)。这样,我们使用了通过文本挖掘技术进行的经济词汇表。我们研究的目的是检查从总统演讲的经济内容获得的网络中重大互连的结构。在这样的网络中,节点是由余弦相似性值的对话和链接表示,后者是使用演讲中经济术语出现的。所得网络显示由核心(即一组高度中心和密集连接的节点)和外围(即一组非中心和稀疏连接的节点)组成的特殊结构。总统使用的不同经济词典的存在是核心 - 外围结构的特征。属于该网络核心的总统对话分享了诸如“利益”或“贸易”之类的通用(非技术性)经济位置的用法。而使用更多技术性和频繁的术语的使用则表征了外围(例如“产量”)。此外,及时的演讲分享了一个普通的经济词典。这些结果以及美国繁荣时期和危机时期的经济学词汇表使用方面的用法为总统讲话之间的经济内容关系提供了独特的见解。
The speeches stated by influential politicians can have a decisive impact on the future of a country. In particular, the economic content of such speeches affects the economy of countries and their financial markets. For this reason, we examine a novel dataset containing the economic content of 951 speeches stated by 45 US Presidents from George Washington (April 1789) to Donald Trump (February 2017). In doing so, we use an economic glossary carried out by means of text mining techniques. The goal of our study is to examine the structure of significant interconnections within a network obtained from the economic content of presidential speeches. In such a network, nodes are represented by talks and links by values of cosine similarity, the latter computed using the occurrences of the economic terms in the speeches. The resulting network displays a peculiar structure made up of a core (i.e. a set of highly central and densely connected nodes) and a periphery (i.e. a set of non-central and sparsely connected nodes). The presence of different economic dictionaries employed by the Presidents characterize the core-periphery structure. The Presidents' talks belonging to the network's core share the usage of generic (non-technical) economic locutions like "interest" or "trade". While the use of more technical and less frequent terms characterizes the periphery (e.g. "yield" ). Furthermore, the speeches close in time share a common economic dictionary. These results together with the economics glossary usages during the US periods of boom and crisis provide unique insights on the economic content relationships among Presidents' speeches.