论文标题
趋势和预测中国共同爆发的爆发
Trend and forecasting of the COVID-19 outbreak in China
论文作者
论文摘要
通过使用从1月20日至2020年2月11日的公共数据，我们对中国大陆，尤其是湖比省的Covid-19-19-19-19疫情进行了数据驱动分析和预测。我们的结果表明，对于荷贝地区以外的惠比和中国，每日感染的转折点预计为2月6日和2月1日。预计中国的流行病将在2020年3月10日之后结束，预计总感染的数量为51600。数据趋势表明，中国为减少人类暴露而采取的快速而积极的策略已经对控制流行病的控制产生了良好的影响。
By using the public data from Jan. 20 to Feb. 11, 2020, we perform data-driven analysis and forecasting on the COVID-19 epidemic in mainland China, especially Hubei province. Our results show that the turning points of the daily infections are predicted to be Feb. 6 and Feb. 1, 2020, for Hubei and China other than Hubei, respectively. The epidemic in China is predicted to end up after Mar. 10, 2020, and the number of the total infections are predicted to be 51600. The data trends reveal that quick and active strategies taken by China to reduce human exposure have already had a good impact on the control of the epidemic.
