论文标题

通过获得布尔操作员的趋势,一种扩展2 x 2的应急表的方法:布尔蒙特卡洛法

A Method Expanding 2 by 2 Contingency Table by Obtaining Tendencies of Boolean Operators: Boolean Monte Carlo Method

论文作者

Usuzaki, Takuma, Shimoyama, Minoru, Chiba, Shuji, Mori, Naoko, Mugikura, Shunji

论文摘要

通常由2 x 2个应急表讨论医学测试和诊断的准确性。但是,由于可能的类别数量呈指数增加,因此很难将2 x 2个应急表应用于多元案例。这项研究的目的是引入一种方法,我们可以通过该方法获得布尔操作员的趋势,并为多元案例构建2 x 2个应急表。在这种方法中,我们在二进制变量之间随机分配了布尔运算符,并专注于布尔运算符的频率,这些频率可以正确解释结果。我们通过卡方检验确定了布尔运营商的趋势。作为应用程序,我们为数据集执行了此方法,其中包括患者的年龄,体重指数(BMI),平均动脉压(MAP)和糖尿病进展的定量度量($ y $)。我们将截止值设置为每个变量,并将其视为二进制变量。年龄,BMI和MAP的相互作用被确定为$ $和$ bmi $和$ bmi $(两个运营商的$ p <0.0001 $),以估计$ y $以及敏感性,特异性,正面和负预测值为0.50,0.85。分别为0.59,0.80。我们也许能够通过这种方法在多元状态下构建布尔运营商的趋势,并在多元状态下构建2 x 2的应急表。

Accuracy of medical test and diagnosis are often discussed by 2 by 2 contingency tables. However, it is difficult to apply a 2 by 2 contingency table to multivariate cases because the number of possible categories increases exponentially. The aims of this study is introducing a method by which we can obtain trends of boolean operators and construct a 2 by 2 contingency tables to multivariate cases. In this method, we randomly assigned boolean operators between binary variables and focused on frequencies of boolean operators which could explain outcomes correctly. We determined trends of boolean operators by chi-square test. As an application, we performed this method for a dataset which included patient's age, body mass index (BMI), mean arterial pressure (MAP) and the quantitative measure of diabetes progression ($Y$). We set cutoff to each variable and considered these as binary variables. Interactions of age, BMI and MAP were determined as age $and$ BMI $and$ MAP ($p<0.0001$ for both operators) in estimating $Y$ and sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predicting value were 0.50, 0.85. 0.59, 0.80 respectively. We may be able to detemine trends of boolean operators and construct a 2 by 2 contingency table in multivariate situation by this method.

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