论文标题
运输高斯回归过程
Transport Gaussian Processes for Regression
论文作者
论文摘要
高斯工艺(GP)先验是非参数生成模型,具有吸引人的贝叶斯推论的建模特性:它们可以通过嘈杂的观察值对非线性关系进行建模,对训练和推理具有封闭形式的表达,并且受可解释的超级参数的控制。但是,GP模型依赖于高斯性,这是在几种现实世界中不存在的假设,例如,当观测是有限的或具有极端价值的依赖性时,这是物理,金融和社会科学的自然现象。尽管超越高斯随机过程引起了GP社区的注意,但仍缺乏原则上的定义和严格的待遇。在这方面,我们提出了一种构建随机过程的方法,其中包括GPS,扭曲的GPS,Student-T过程以及其他几个统一方法。我们还提供了用于回归问题中提出模型的培训和推断的公式和算法。我们的方法灵感来自基于层的模型,在该模型中,每个提出的层都会在生成的随机过程上更改特定属性。反过来,这使我们能够将标准的高斯白噪声推向其他更具表现力的随机过程,而边际和库普拉斯则不必是高斯,同时保留了GPS的吸引人特性。我们通过使用现实世界数据的实验来验证提出的模型。
Gaussian process (GP) priors are non-parametric generative models with appealing modelling properties for Bayesian inference: they can model non-linear relationships through noisy observations, have closed-form expressions for training and inference, and are governed by interpretable hyperparameters. However, GP models rely on Gaussianity, an assumption that does not hold in several real-world scenarios, e.g., when observations are bounded or have extreme-value dependencies, a natural phenomenon in physics, finance and social sciences. Although beyond-Gaussian stochastic processes have caught the attention of the GP community, a principled definition and rigorous treatment is still lacking. In this regard, we propose a methodology to construct stochastic processes, which include GPs, warped GPs, Student-t processes and several others under a single unified approach. We also provide formulas and algorithms for training and inference of the proposed models in the regression problem. Our approach is inspired by layers-based models, where each proposed layer changes a specific property over the generated stochastic process. That, in turn, allows us to push-forward a standard Gaussian white noise prior towards other more expressive stochastic processes, for which marginals and copulas need not be Gaussian, while retaining the appealing properties of GPs. We validate the proposed model through experiments with real-world data.