论文标题
以政策为导向的代理人招募有组织犯罪的模型
A Policy-oriented Agent-based Model of Recruitment into Organized Crime
论文作者
论文摘要
犯罪组织利用其在领土和当地社区的存在来招募新劳动力，以进行犯罪活动和业务。吸引个人的能力对于维持对这些群体的领土的权力和控制至关重要。这项研究提出了基于代理的模型（ABM）的形式化，开发和分析，该模型模拟了巴勒莫（西西里岛）的街区，目的是了解导致个人招募有组织犯罪组织（OCGS）的途径。使用有关该地区正在分析的地区的社会，经济和犯罪状况的经验数据，我们使用多层网络方法来模拟这种情况。作为最终目标，我们测试了不同的政策，以应对OCG的招聘。这些方案基于预防和干预的两个不同方面：（i）主要和次要社会化以及（ii）执法策略。
Criminal organizations exploit their presence on territories and local communities to recruit new workforce in order to carry out their criminal activities and business. The ability to attract individuals is crucial for maintaining power and control over the territories in which these groups are settled. This study proposes the formalization, development and analysis of an agent-based model (ABM) that simulates a neighborhood of Palermo (Sicily) with the aim to understand the pathways that lead individuals to recruitment into organized crime groups (OCGs). Using empirical data on social, economic and criminal conditions of the area under analysis, we use a multi-layer network approach to simulate this scenario. As the final goal, we test different policies to counter recruitment into OCGs. These scenarios are based on two different dimensions of prevention and intervention: (i) primary and secondary socialization and (ii) law enforcement targeting strategies.
